Little movement forecast for Vietnamese stocks

January 22, 2018 - 09:00

Vietnamese shares are forecast to move marginally this week as investors could realise their earnings after having priced in the growth prospects of both the market and local stocks.

An investor passes by trading screens tat Tân Việt Securities Company in Hà Nội. - VNS Photo Đoàn Tùng
Viet Nam News

HÀ NỘI – Vietnamese shares are forecast to move marginally this week as investors could realise their earnings after having priced in the growth prospects of both the market and local stocks.

The benchmark VN Index on the HCM Stock Exchange gained 1.13 per cent to close at 1,062.07 points. After the last two sessions, it has almost regained a loss of 2.66 per cent on Wednesday.

The minor HNX Index on the Ha Noi Stock Exchange edged up 0.41 per cent to end at 122.39 points. The northern market index has increased a total 1.6 per cent in the last two days.

Both stock indices posted weekly growth this week with the VN Index rising 1.1 per cent after the last five trading sessions. The figure for the HNX Index is 1.3 per cent.

More than 387.4 million shares were traded in each session last week, worth VNĐ9.44 trillion (US$420 million).

The trading figures fell 4.5 per cent in volume but increased by 1.9 per cent in value compared to the previous week.

The stock market indices increased on a weekly basis as investors were optimistic about the companies’ quarterly and yearly earnings reports and the market outlook this year.

Strong confidence kept market trading liquidity high as investors continued to look for opportunities in stocks that declined on Wednesday.

According to analysts and securities firms, the stock market will continue to grow in the coming week but the growth will be narrow as investors try to lock in gains after the indices performed well in recent weeks.

The benchmark VN Index has moved up a total 7.9 per cent since the beginning of the year and the HNX Index has increased by 4.7 per cent.

Investors have made big profits as they purchased stocks when the benchmark index was rising in the first two weeks. “They tended to lock in profits when bad news appeared and threatened their profitability,” Ngô Thế Hiển, a lead analyst at Sài Gòn-Hà Nội Securities Company (SHS) told

Nguyễn Hồng Khanh, head of market analysis at Sacombank Securities Company (SBS) said investors had priced in local stocks on expectations that both the market and corporations would perform well.

However, they remained defensive and were willing to offload their portfolios if they saw any news that could hurt the market, Khanh said.

“It’s a normal market sentiment at the moment, especially when the stock market is recording strong gains recently,” he said.

The stock market would need to settle at the range of 1,020-1,070 points before making a further improvement, Hiển at SHS said.

“The benchmark VN Index is accumulating at the range of 1,020 and 1,070 points, which were also the lowest and highest levels of the benchmark last week,” he said.

A positive signal for investors was high trading liquidity, which proved investors were still attracted to the prospects of the market and stocks and they were willing to bottom-fish stocks that decline, Hiển said.

However, he warned that investors should stay calm and avoid making new investment decisions as the stock indices were near their resistant levels and the market would become volatile in the near future.

Khanh at SBS said the growth momentum of the market had mainly come from investors’ confidence in corporate earnings and such expectations had priced in stocks.

“When the companies are about to release their earnings reports, stocks will be mixed and the market will grow slowly,” he said. – VNS