Overall property market sentiment improves as the number of people expecting higher property prices next year doubles

HONG KONG, CHINA - Media OutReach - 4 August 2020 - Citi Hong Kong conducted a survey in June this year on the impact of COVID-19on residential property ownership in Q2 2020, gauging residents' attitudestowards residential property ownership as COVID-19 unfolded. According to the survey:

• More than 10% of the respondents considered it a good/excellent time to buy a home at this moment, representing a slight increase from the previous quarter, and remains the highest percentage in nine years.
• The public were split on the trend of property prices. In this quarter, the proportion of respondents who considered that property prices will rise in the next 12 months has doubled as compared with the previous quarter, and the number of respondents who expected property prices to fall has decreased significantly.
• The overall interest in purchasing residential property over the past two quarters has rebounded, with more than one-fifth of this quarter's respondents interested in buying a home.
• Compared to the figures in the first quarter and the second quarter, the impact of COVID-19 on the attitude towards the property market in the second quarter has eased. Respondents anticipated property prices at the end of the year would be similar to that at the beginning of the year taking into account COVID-19's impact, which was expected to only knock 5% off property prices at most.

Property marketsentiment has improved, with rebounded interest in buying properties

The survey in Q2 2020 indicated a relative calm sentiment in the propertymarket with positive changes observed in important indicators, including thejudgment on the time of property purchasing, the views on the trends of propertyprices and the interest towards property buying. In this quarter, although aconsiderable proportion of respondents considered now a bad/terrible time topurchase a home, more than 10% of the respondents considered now agood/excellent time to do so, representing a slight increase from the previousquarter and the percentage remained at its highest level in nine years. As forthe trend of property market, respondents who anticipated property prices torise, remain flat and fall next year were evenly split, with each option accountingfor 33% to 34% of all respondents. Compared with the previous quarter, the numberof respondents expecting property prices to rise in this quarter has doubled,while the number of respondents expecting property prices to fall has decreasedsignificantly. Meanwhile, the overall interest in purchasing a property hasrebounded over the past two quarters, with more than one-fifth of thisquarter's respondents suggesting they were interested in buying a home.

Base: AllRespondents

Base: AllRespondents

Base: AllRespondents

COVID-19's impacton attitude towards property market is diminishing

According to the survey, the respondents' feedback over the impact of COVID-19on the property market this quarter was less than that in the previous quarter.Respondents in this quarter anticipated property prices at the end of the yearwould be similar to that at the beginning of the year taking into account COVID-19'simpact, which was expected to only knock 5% off the property prices at most.

"The results show that the public is beginningto regain their confidence in purchasing residential property" said Josephine Lee, Head of Retail Bank, Citi HongKong. "As theoverall property market sentiment improved in the second quarter of this yearand the number of respondents expecting property prices to rise has doubled,the property market's development is gradually returning to normal. We suggest that interested homebuyers comprehensively assess their financial positionand choose a mortgage plan that best meets their needs."

Citibank commissioned The University of Hong Kong Social SciencesResearch Centre to conduct the survey, interviewing a random sample of over 500Hong Kong respondents by phone in June 2020. Since 2010, Citibank has beenconducting quarterly surveys on the Hong Kong housing market to assess thecurrent state of home ownership in the SAR, gauge public intentions towardshome ownership, and track public expectations of future housing price trends.

Source: Citibank Q2 2020Residential Property Ownership Survey

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